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Has Blogging Peaked?

The Always-On Innovation Summit just devoted it’s last session to the Blogosphere, but some “brand name” bloggers, like Jeremy Zawodny are already predicting blogging would peak soon … others are wondering if it already has.

I don’t believe either. Blogging may soon not be the “hot, new thing” ( in fact I am sure it no longer is, by the time I jump in on something, how could it be new …)

Those of us that find Blogging a good way of self-expression will likely not abandon it.

Others blog as a from of ongoing  career-management – get your name known, “become a brand”  (thanks, tompeters!).
If you want to be “in” some Entrepreneurial circles, better be a blogger… just look at what Joe Kraus says about his hiring criteria

That leaves the commercial crowd – blogging for $$$.  Blogging networks grow like mushrooms, their content is often not  determined by the author’s desire to communicate but by what areas help maximize ad revenue.    Don’t get me wrong: many of these networks actually provide high-quality information… but with some others, content is secondary, just an excuse to display ads.

I expect to see a spectacular  hypergrowth- peak-crash-burn cycle in this segment.   The  barrier of entry is  low, and I suspect this will be just like the day-trading phenomenon:  with news like  Jason Calacanis hitting $1M  or “ProBlogger” Darren’s record Adsense check  sooner or later many  in corporate America  will see blogging as a way to get out of the cubicle and  make easy money, then …  well, we know what happened to daytraders.
Few will make a decent profit, most will burn,  the real beneficieries will be, just like with daytrading, the platform/infractsructure/tool providers.  I wrote about one extreme example here.

When the $$ crowd is gone, blogging will be back to what it’s meant to be: a way of self-expression, communication, professional/social networking, exchange of ideas.  Which is perfectly right with me.

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Always-On 2005 at Stanford

Watching some of the sessions online.  For a conference about Innovation, there is nothing innovative about the feed; tiny screen, cannot be enlarged, the only way to zoom in is to give up the online chat.

The backchannel is about the best feature, it is displayed on the wall at the Conference, thus we, cheapos who did not plunk down $1,800, or just live too far get to participate.  “PeoplePower” really worked when during the Opening Keynote the panelists finally listened to the backchannel demand and changed subject, back from Politics.  (Isn’t this an Innovation Conference, after all?)

Today I really liked Joe Kraus‘s closing remarks, essentially saying we should stop talking about copyright..etc, leave it to the Hollywood types, and focus on what the Valley’s real value is: innovation, creating new businesses and jobs.  Too bad it was a closing remark 🙂

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BlogPulse Upgrades

BlogPulse introduced a number of upgrades,

indluding Profiles yesterday.  It’s not a user maintainable

profile, BlogPulse finds the data itself – for the top 10,000 blogs

that is. 

Considering Technorati’s performance issues and glitches the Blog Herald predicts the upgraded BlogPulse could become a Technorati slayer

Yesterday evening as news spread around the Blogosphere, the new

service became sloooooooow … than crashed – it is back up now …

well, that is if you pull up  dusty old IE, since  it does

not seem to display correctly with FireFox.   Just compare the two images below.

Firefox:

IE:

Update at 9:35am:  it is fixed now.

Update: 9:20am 7/25; the fix lasted a day, it’s now just as crappy as it was before in Firefox:-(


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Google Maps now Include the Moon :-)

First there was Google Maps, then Google Earth,  and now here’s Google Moon.  

Now we have proof that the Moon is really made of Cheese!  You’ll need to zoom to the max … is that Emmenthaler?

Can’t wait for the first wine & cheese tasting tour to the Moon…

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Plagiarism Made Easier – Or Not? (part 2.)

I previously stated that the Bad Guys have arrived to Blogosphere,

and I didn’t mean the little guy who lifts content here and there, but

those that will turn it into mass production.   Blog-Zilla had all the makings of a software service to automate content theft – at least based on their advertising.

Today the Blog-Zilla uncloaked itself, and I wonder if I have to eat my words.   Excerpts from the sign-up page:

“Bloggy is not big on bottom-feeders. If you feel you are dedicated to

multi-blogging your own good stuff (with Bloggy’s help), then you’re

the type of creative blog entrepreneur Bloggy loves. If you’re hoping

to steal content and get rich as you sleep, Bloggy will not make a good

bedfellow.”

“Blog-zilla is not a content duplicator, stealing machine, ‘get rich quick’ system or blog spammer.”

Could this be a decent effort?  To do what?   Hm… I guess we’ll have to wait and see. 

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Plagiarism Made Easier

Apparently the Bad Guys have arrived to Blogosphere: Blog Plagiarism is

on the rise. Here are a few articles on the subject:

Is Blog Plagiarism Growing–and are the Fakes Convincing?

Really Simple Stealing

ON BLOG PLAGIARISM

How Not to Blog

But wait, the dude referred to in these post is doing hard work…

finding and copying other people’s original content is not easy… don’t

worry dude, help is on the way!

Apparently content theft is a big enough business to attract “tool providers” that will help automate theft … just look at this ad (which, by the way I quite innocently displayed on my blog via AdSense):

Quotes from the ad:

“· Take any content or article and have Blog-zilla manipulate, randomize, or merge text based on your rules.

· Grab keyword-related RSS feeds and auto-post directly to all your blogs.

· Never steal content, instead

generate your own and let Blog-zilla hatch unlimited variations all

customized to each blog’s target audience. (maybe you should read that

again!)”

Yes, they are right, you should read that again! Let me get this straight: if

I steal a lot of original content, then have some “intelligent” program

randomly mash them together, republish at a gazillion sites, it’s

no longer theft, right?


WRONG!

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Google Earth is here

First there was Keyhole, downloadable for $ .. then  we got most features (albeit in lower res) for free on Google Maps.. now here’s the super-program:  Google Earth.

Fly in Space, zoom in to any location, get local info, 3D sightseeing ..etc.   Wow!

And what a surprise, this is not a web-app, it has to be downloaded/installed on a local PC.

Bill Gates beware!

test.

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Getting Plaxoed?

Plaxo is great, it made contact management so much easier.

Not that it’s a new idea; several years ago I used GoodContacts, but they were “the little guys” from Canada, and their service never took off. Same features, but without critical mass in the network, it’s worth nothing. Plaxo got the brand names behind it, so it took off like wildfire.

I wish they were a bit less pushy though. As Adam puts it in Consumption Junction:
“The last thing on my mind regarding Plaxo is the annoying amount of information update request emails they send out. These emails are ruining their brand. Plaxo allows their users to send email notifications to their contacts requesting that they update their address book entry. This is something I would never do, personally. If I want someone’s updated contact information, I will personally email them or even pick up the phone, ask them how they’ve been and how their family is doing, and let them know that I need their address to send them something by mail. Anyone who’s like me in this way also probably finds it incredibly obnoxious to be on the receiving end of a stock message that reads “Hi from Plaxo!!! We need your contact info!!! This isn’t spam and it shouldn’t annoy you because you can opt out if you don’t like these emails!!” It doesn’t matter if my friend Bob is the one who is actually clicking the link to send me the email. It has Plaxo, not Bob, written all over it, and as such, represents Plaxo as much or more so than it does Bob. And this isn’t just a personal pet peeve. When widely-read bloggers like Russell Beattie begin noting they’ve permanently opted out of Plaxo, perhaps it’s time to re-think your strategy.”

Well, there is a “decent”, spam-free yet efficient way of using Plaxo: sign up for the service, download the app to Outlook, then kill the email-generating feature. You will still get the auto-update of your Outlook contacts, if they already are Plaxo members, without annoying hundreds of others. I have a fairly large contacts folder, and about 10% are Plaxo members – among the techie/entrepereneurial types I guess the penetration is even higher.

In fact if we all followed this more subtle approach to Plaxo-ing, chanches are Russel et al would not leave, so with increasing membership the auto-update would be more and more valuable.

That is until the day LinkedIn comes up with Plaxo-like updates 🙂

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CNET says Social Networking doesn’t work ????

The Buzz Report: Five reasons social networking doesn’t work – CNET.com:

By Molly Wood, section editor, CNET.com
Thursday, June 2, 2005

The word on the street lately is that social networking is in trouble…” etc…etc..

Then she goes on saying how Friendster is in trouble, which is probably true, but I beg to differ as to her general conclusion. The more focused, targeted sites do and will work.

LinkedIn has a business focus, the invitation-only approach actually enhances the value of the network for business use. I received several calls from headhunters who found me there, and who all claim they no longer go to Monster and the likes, they use LinkedIn as the primary source to find candidates. LinkedIn is clearly for the business crowd, and I think it makes sense to keep your business and social life separate…not doing so is what hurt Ryze, the early player in this game.

As for “finding the money” they started to charge for job postings, and plan several other premimum services. I am not worried about LinkedIn’s survival as the primary business networking site. Hm … what did I just say? Perhaps that’s a differentiator, i.e. “business networking”vs. “social networking” (?)

Then again, there is the phenomenal success of Thefacebookwith a completely different business model: they are a classic media company, reveneue comes solely from advertising, all functions are free. Why are they successful? Very focused on a segment of the population (college students), and they basically map communities that already exist in individual campuses.

Bottom line: the CNET article is probably right, generalist sites without a particular focus will die; after the initial spike in signups users realize there’s not much to do there –  but focused, targeted sites that offer added value are here to stay.

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Picasa labels on multiple computers

picasa.gif

Update: this is an old post, I suggest you read How to Use Picasa on Multiple Computers – The Updated Definitive Guide instead.

Has anyone spent ours of labeling, captioning, editing your favorite photos in Picasa only to discover that all this information is buried so deeply within Picasa, that there is no (easy) way to copy it over to another computer?

Picasa is great, but I can’t believe I am the only one who likes to have a backup set of my photo albums on another computer … all the “value added” information in Picasa is lost.

Can’t wait for Release 3.0!!!

Update:
All Picasa database, label .. etc info is stored in the C:\Documents and Settings\\Local Settings\Application Data\Google\Picasa2 directory. As long as both PC’s have the same directory / windows user structure and both are XP, copying the directory will save all the Picasa metada to the new PC.

Update 2 (12/01):
See my other post on how to keep your Picasa albums in sync on multiple PC’s.

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